Detroit Tigers Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Detroit Tigers are just 10-36-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -58.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +58.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Tigers' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their organizational approach to roster management and pitching depth over the past decade. Detroit has consistently operated with one of the smallest payrolls in baseball, leading to thin bullpens and starting rotations that lack the depth necessary to handle back-to-back games effectively. When forced into a favorite role at Comerica Park without rest, the Tigers often face opponents who view these spots as prime upset opportunities. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Detroit's recent rebuilding years created a culture where expectations were consistently low, making it difficult for players to embrace the favorite role even at home. The team's offensive inconsistency compounds this issue on zero rest, as tired lineups struggle to provide the run support needed to cover spreads against motivated underdogs. Comerica Park's dimensions also work against fatigued Detroit teams, as the spacious outfield requires more defensive range that diminishes without proper rest. The ballpark's pitcher-friendly reputation means games often stay closer than the betting line suggests when the Tigers lack their typical energy. This trend carries the most weight when Detroit is favored by more than a run against divisional opponents, as familiarity breeds confidence in visiting underdogs facing a rested Tigers squad.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Detroit Tigers have a 10-36-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a dismal 21.7% ATS win rate over 46 games.
Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Tigers as home favorites on zero rest is highly unprofitable with a -58.5% ROI. This trend has been consistently poor, making it one of the worst betting situations for the Tigers.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Tigers' 21.7% ATS rate in this situation is exceptionally poor and represents a strong fade opportunity.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.