The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Detroit Tigers are just 86-341-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -61.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +61.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record86-341-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size429 games
ROI-61.5%
Units Won-262.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-33-00.0%-79.4%
20159-30-10.0%-55.9%
20167-32-00.0%-65.7%
20178-28-00.0%-57.6%
20188-34-00.0%-63.6%
20194-25-00.0%-73.7%
20207-32-00.0%-65.7%
202115-32-00.0%-39.1%
20226-25-10.0%-63.0%
20237-36-00.0%-68.9%
202411-34-00.0%-53.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Tigers' catastrophic performance as betting favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality during their prolonged rebuild. Detroit's front office has consistently prioritized player development and salary flexibility over short-term competitiveness, creating situations where the betting market overvalues temporary hot streaks or individual performances that don't reflect the team's true talent level. This organizational philosophy manifests in predictable ways when Detroit is favored. The Tigers often get inflated odds based on facing weaker opponents or having a decent starting pitcher, but their bullpen depth, offensive consistency, and defensive reliability consistently fail to support these expectations. The franchise's commitment to giving younger players extended opportunities, regardless of immediate results, means they frequently underperform in games where experience and clutch execution matter most. The psychological burden of carrying favorite status also exposes Detroit's lack of veteran leadership and championship mentality. Young rosters typically struggle with the pressure of expectations, leading to tentative play in crucial moments. For bettors, this trend is most exploitable when the Tigers are small road favorites or favored against division rivals, where familiarity breeds competitive balance but Detroit's systemic weaknesses become magnified.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as as favorite?

The Detroit Tigers have an 86-341-2 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 20.1% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in a favored role over this period.

Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Tigers as favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -61.5% ROI. This means bettors would have lost over 60% of their investment backing Detroit when favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS as favorites. The Tigers' 20.1% cover rate as favorites is exceptionally poor and well below typical expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.