The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Detroit Tigers are just 16-74-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record16-74-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size90 games
ROI-66.1%
Units Won-59.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-6-00.0%-100.0%
20150-8-00.0%-100.0%
20162-5-00.0%-45.5%
20171-7-00.0%-76.1%
20181-6-00.0%-72.7%
20192-7-00.0%-57.6%
20201-6-00.0%-72.7%
20212-5-00.0%-45.5%
20221-7-00.0%-76.1%
20230-6-00.0%-100.0%
20246-11-00.0%-32.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Tigers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. Detroit's rebuilding mentality creates a team that lacks the mental fortitude to bounce back from adversity, especially when thrust into the uncomfortable position of being favored away from home. Young, developing players often compound mistakes rather than learn from them, leading to cascading effects that make recovery difficult. The franchise's inconsistent roster construction during their competitive decline meant they frequently found themselves as road favorites against weaker opponents despite fundamental flaws in their own makeup. When already demoralized from a recent loss, Detroit players have historically shown an inability to execute the small-ball fundamentals and situational hitting necessary to win close games on the road. Their pitching staff, often built around aging veterans or unproven prospects, lacks the depth to consistently deliver quality starts that keep games manageable. Smart bettors should view Detroit road favorites after losses as automatic fade opportunities, particularly against division rivals who know their weaknesses intimately. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when roster fatigue amplifies existing psychological vulnerabilities and the grind of the season exposes character deficiencies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Detroit Tigers have a 16-74-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Tigers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -66.1% ROI. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Tigers' 0.0% ATS rate in this situation makes it one of the most reliable fade opportunities in sports betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.