Colorado Rockies Small Favorite (-1 to -3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Colorado Rockies are just 23-50-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -39.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +39.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 4-4-1 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockies' struggles as small favorites stem from a perfect storm of organizational dysfunction and environmental factors unique to Coors Field. When oddsmakers set Colorado as slight favorites, they're often overvaluing a team that historically lacks the pitching depth and bullpen reliability to close out games they're expected to win. The thin air at altitude creates unpredictable offensive environments that can quickly turn manageable leads into blown opportunities, making the Rockies particularly vulnerable when bettors expect them to control games. Colorado's front office has consistently failed to build sustainable pitching staffs capable of handling the pressure that comes with favorite status. When the team enters games with public expectation, their pitchers often crumble under the weight of having to perform rather than simply compete. The psychological burden of being favored exposes the franchise's deeper structural problems - inconsistent player development, poor in-game management, and a roster construction philosophy that prioritizes offense over the pitching and defense needed to win close games. Smart bettors should fade Colorado as small favorites, particularly in divisional games where opponents know how to exploit Coors Field's unique conditions. This trend carries the most weight during the middle months of the season when the Rockies' pitching weaknesses become most apparent and opposing teams have adjusted to their offensive tendencies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?
The Colorado Rockies have a 23-50-1 ATS record as small favorites (-1 to -3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 31.1% ATS win rate over 74 games.
Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?
No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as small favorites is not profitable. The strategy shows a -39.9% ROI, meaning bettors would lose nearly 40% of their investment over time.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Rockies' 31.1% ATS rate as small favorites represents one of the worst trends in baseball betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.