The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Colorado Rockies are just 17-74-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record17-74-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size91 games
ROI-64.3%
Units Won-58.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-6-00.0%-100.0%
20151-10-00.0%-82.6%
20161-6-00.0%-72.7%
20171-7-00.0%-76.1%
20182-6-00.0%-52.3%
20191-8-00.0%-78.8%
20203-10-00.0%-55.9%
20211-7-00.0%-76.1%
20223-7-00.0%-42.7%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20242-5-00.0%-45.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a perfect storm of psychological and environmental factors unique to Coors Field. When Colorado enters these spots as chalk, they're often overvalued by oddsmakers who fail to account for the team's fragile mental state after defeats. The thin air at altitude can amplify both offensive explosions and pitching implosions, creating volatile swings that betting markets struggle to price accurately when the Rockies are coming off disappointment. Colorado's organizational culture has historically lacked the veteran leadership and mental toughness needed to bounce back from adversity, particularly when expectations are elevated as home favorites. The franchise's perpetual rebuilding cycles mean younger players often crumble under the pressure of being expected to win, especially after absorbing a tough loss. Their pitching staff becomes particularly vulnerable in these situations, as Coors Field's conditions demand exceptional command and confidence - qualities that evaporate quickly when rattled. Smart bettors should target the opposing team when Colorado fits this profile, particularly against quality road clubs that can exploit the Rockies' mental fragility. This trend carries maximum weight during divisional series and against teams with strong road records, where the psychological disadvantage compounds with superior opponent talent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Colorado Rockies have a 17-74-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents an extremely poor 18.7% ATS win rate over 91 games.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -64.3% ROI. This trend shows consistent losses for bettors over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS. The Rockies' 18.7% ATS rate in this situation represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.