The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Colorado Rockies are just 37-169-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -65.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +65.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record37-169-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size206 games
ROI-65.7%
Units Won-135.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-15-00.0%-88.1%
20154-19-00.0%-66.8%
20162-17-00.0%-79.9%
20171-15-00.0%-88.1%
20185-15-00.0%-52.3%
20191-19-00.0%-90.5%
20205-20-00.0%-61.8%
20216-14-00.0%-42.7%
20223-12-00.0%-61.8%
20234-12-00.0%-52.3%
20245-11-00.0%-40.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' dismal performance as home favorites stems from fundamental organizational dysfunction that creates a perfect storm for betting disasters. Colorado's front office consistently overvalues their roster strength, leading oddsmakers to install them as favorites in matchups where they lack genuine edge. The team's notorious inconsistency with player development and roster construction means they rarely possess the depth needed to capitalize on favorable betting lines. Coors Field presents a unique challenge that amplifies these issues. While the thin air can boost offensive numbers, it also exposes pitching weaknesses more severely than other venues. When Colorado enters games as favorites, opposing teams often benefit from the ballpark's offensive environment while the Rockies' typically subpar pitching staff gets hammered. The psychological pressure of being expected to win at home compounds these problems, as players often press in situations where they should dominate. The organization's chronic inability to develop consistent starting pitching creates particular vulnerability in day games and series openers, where they're most likely to be favored. Smart bettors should view Colorado home favorite lines as systematic overvaluation opportunities. This trend carries maximum weight during interleague play and when facing teams with strong road offensive numbers, where the Coors Field advantage becomes neutralized while Colorado's fundamental weaknesses remain exposed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as home favorite?

The Colorado Rockies have a 37-169-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 37 out of 206 games. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -65.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would lose approximately 66 cents for every dollar wagered on the Rockies in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most MLB teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Rockies' 18% ATS win rate as home favorites represents one of the worst betting trends in modern baseball history.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.