The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Colorado Rockies are just 21-78-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -59.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +59.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record21-78-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size100 games
ROI-59.5%
Units Won-58.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-3-00.0%+9.1%
20155-5-00.0%-4.5%
20161-6-00.0%-72.7%
20171-8-10.0%-78.8%
20181-6-00.0%-72.7%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20200-9-00.0%-100.0%
20210-12-00.0%-100.0%
20221-6-00.0%-72.7%
20232-10-00.0%-68.2%
20242-9-00.0%-65.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' historically poor performance as road favorites following losses stems from a perfect storm of psychological and environmental factors that compound their struggles. Playing at Coors Field creates a unique home-field advantage that doesn't translate on the road, where their hitters lose the thin air benefit that inflates offensive numbers in Denver. When the team suffers a loss and then travels to face supposedly weaker opponents, there's often an overconfidence that masks underlying deficiencies in pitching depth and bullpen reliability. Colorado's organizational approach has traditionally emphasized offense over pitching development, creating a roster construction that struggles in hostile road environments where runs are harder to manufacture. The psychological weight of being favored after a disappointing loss creates additional pressure on a franchise that has historically lacked the veteran leadership and mental toughness needed to respond positively to adversity away from home. The betting market consistently overvalues the Rockies' offensive reputation while underestimating how dramatically their performance deteriorates in road spots requiring mental resilience. Smart bettors should aggressively fade Colorado in these situations, particularly when they're small road favorites against teams with competent starting pitching. This trend becomes most valuable during summer months when the Coors Field effect is most pronounced, creating the largest gap between home and road performance expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Colorado Rockies have a 21-78-1 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 0.0% win rate, making them one of the worst betting situations in baseball.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as away favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -59.5% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors who have followed this trend over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is dramatically worse than league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Rockies' 0.0% win rate in this spot makes it one of the most reliable fade opportunities in MLB betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.