The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Colorado Rockies are just 41-178-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record41-178-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size220 games
ROI-64.3%
Units Won-140.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-14-00.0%-36.4%
20158-15-00.0%-33.6%
20161-13-00.0%-86.4%
20175-14-10.0%-49.8%
20184-15-00.0%-59.8%
20195-11-00.0%-40.3%
20202-16-00.0%-78.8%
20213-23-00.0%-78.0%
20222-19-00.0%-81.8%
20232-18-00.0%-80.9%
20242-20-00.0%-82.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' dismal performance as road favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between their home-field advantages and the expectations built into these betting lines. Colorado's offensive identity revolves around Coors Field's thin air, which dramatically inflates power numbers and run production. When the team travels to sea-level ballparks, their hitters struggle to replicate the same production that makes them appear formidable enough to be favored. The psychological component compounds this issue significantly. Road favorite status creates pressure on a franchise historically uncomfortable in that role, particularly given their limited postseason success. The Rockies often find themselves favored against weaker opponents during rebuilding phases, but these spots frequently represent schedule quirks rather than genuine superiority. Their pitching staff, already challenged by Coors Field's conditions, faces additional difficulties adjusting to different ballpark dimensions and atmospheric conditions on the road. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Colorado road favorites typically indicate market overreaction to recent home performance or opponent weakness rather than sustainable road competitiveness. This trend matters most when the Rockies are favored against struggling teams in pitcher-friendly ballparks, where the environmental adjustment becomes most pronounced and the betting market hasn't properly discounted their Coors Field inflation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as away favorite?

The Colorado Rockies have an ATS record of 41-178-1 (18.6% win rate) when playing as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst ATS performances in this situation across all MLB teams.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as away favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -64.3% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 64 cents for every dollar wagered over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Rockies' 18.6% ATS rate as away favorites represents an extreme negative outlier in MLB betting trends.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.