Cleveland Guardians Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 56-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $23 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2023 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Guardians' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a fundamentally sound, opportunistic team that thrives when expectations are modest. Cleveland's front office has consistently built rosters around speed, defense, and situational hitting rather than star power, creating a team that excels in close games where margins are razor-thin. When oddsmakers price them as slight underdogs, they're often undervaluing Cleveland's ability to manufacture runs through stolen bases, hit-and-run plays, and clutch two-out hitting. The psychological component cannot be overlooked. This franchise has historically embraced the underdog mentality, and small spreads typically indicate competitive matchups where Cleveland's superior fundamentals and game management shine. Their pitching staff, anchored by a deep bullpen, keeps games close enough for their scrappy offense to find ways to score late. The team's speed on the basepaths becomes particularly valuable in tight contests, as they can turn singles into doubles and create scoring opportunities that slower teams cannot. Bettors should target the Guardians as small underdogs specifically in divisional games and against teams with shaky bullpens, where Cleveland's late-inning execution provides maximum edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Cleveland Guardians have an outstanding 56-28-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 66.7% ATS win rate over 84 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Guardians as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Their 66.7% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Guardians' 66.7% ATS rate and 27.3% ROI as small underdogs represents one of the strongest situational trends in baseball betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.