The public often underestimates the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 359-66-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $261 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record359-66-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size426 games
ROI+61.3%
Units Won+260.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201434-7-00.0%+58.3%
201527-9-00.0%+43.2%
201640-6-00.0%+66.0%
201736-4-00.0%+71.8%
201835-7-10.0%+59.1%
201932-7-00.0%+56.6%
202033-8-00.0%+53.7%
202130-6-00.0%+59.1%
202228-2-00.0%+78.2%
202332-5-00.0%+65.1%
202432-5-00.0%+65.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cleveland Guardians' exceptional performance as underdogs during winning streaks stems from their organizational philosophy of manufacturing runs and playing fundamentally sound baseball. When riding momentum, this team becomes particularly dangerous because their small-ball approach – built around speed, contact hitting, and aggressive baserunning – creates scoring opportunities that oddsmakers often undervalue compared to power-heavy offenses. The psychological component cannot be overlooked. Cleveland's young core thrives on the underdog mentality, and when they string together wins, the confidence permeates through their entire lineup. Their pitching staff, historically strong in development and execution, tends to elevate performance when the team has momentum, creating a compounding effect that books struggle to properly price. The Guardians' ballpark dimensions also play a crucial role. Progressive Field rewards their style of play, and when they're clicking offensively during a streak, visiting teams often struggle to match their situational hitting and defensive precision. The combination of home-field advantage with existing momentum creates a perfect storm scenario. Bettors should target this angle specifically when Cleveland is catching plus-money at home during winning streaks, particularly against teams with high-strikeout pitchers who play into their contact-oriented strengths. This trend carries maximum value in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds the type of tight games Cleveland excels at winning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?

The Cleveland Guardians have an exceptional 359-66-1 ATS record when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to an 84.5% ATS win rate in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cleveland Guardians as underdogs on a 3+ win streak has been highly profitable with a 61.3% ROI over the past decade. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain ATS success as underdogs. The Guardians' 84.5% ATS rate in this situation is exceptionally rare and well above typical underdog performance.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.