Cleveland Guardians Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 174-39-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $120 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2015 | 14-4-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2016 | 18-5-0 | 0.0% | +49.4% |
| 2017 | 22-3-0 | 0.0% | +68.0% |
| 2018 | 18-7-1 | 0.0% | +37.5% |
| 2019 | 15-2-0 | 0.0% | +68.5% |
| 2020 | 17-2-0 | 0.0% | +70.8% |
| 2021 | 12-3-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2022 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 13-4-0 | 0.0% | +46.0% |
| 2024 | 18-4-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Guardians' exceptional performance as road underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy of developing scrappy, fundamentally sound players who thrive when expectations are low. This franchise has consistently built teams around contact hitting, aggressive baserunning, and situational pitching rather than relying on marquee talent, creating a perfect storm for covering spreads when oddsmakers undervalue their grit. Cleveland's road success as underdogs reflects their ability to manufacture runs through small ball tactics that become more effective in unfamiliar ballparks where home teams may be overconfident. Their pitching staff typically features command artists rather than power arms, allowing them to keep games close even against superior offensive clubs. The underdog mentality aligns perfectly with their blue-collar identity, as these players often perform better when proving doubters wrong than when carrying heavy expectations. The psychological edge of being dismissed by both oddsmakers and opposing crowds creates an us-against-the-world mentality that this organization has weaponized effectively. Their systematic approach to player development emphasizes mental toughness and situational awareness, traits that become amplified in hostile environments. Bettors should target Cleveland as road underdogs specifically against teams coming off strong home stands or facing divisional opponents where familiarity might breed overconfidence from the favored club.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as away underdog?
The Cleveland Guardians have an outstanding 174-39-1 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents one of the most dominant situational betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Guardians as away underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 56.0% ROI. This means a $100 bet on each game would have generated $56 in profit over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to cover spreads consistently as underdogs. The Guardians' 81.3% ATS win rate in this situation is exceptionally rare in professional sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.