Cincinnati Reds Two Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cincinnati Reds in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Cincinnati Reds are just 58-64-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2015 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2016 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2017 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2018 | 12-6-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2021 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2022 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Reds' struggles on two days rest reflect a franchise that has historically lacked the organizational depth and player conditioning programs necessary to maintain peak performance during compressed schedules. Cincinnati's roster construction over the past decade has consistently favored older veterans and injury-prone players who require additional recovery time between games. The team's medical and training staff has also undergone frequent turnover, creating inconsistencies in player preparation protocols that become magnified when rest is limited. From a strategic standpoint, the Reds' managers have often relied heavily on their starting rotation to eat innings, meaning bullpen arms get overworked during tight scheduling windows. When forced to play on short rest, Cincinnati typically sees decreased offensive production as hitters struggle with timing adjustments, while their pitching staff becomes more vulnerable to explosive innings due to fatigue-related command issues. The psychological component cannot be ignored either - Cincinnati has operated as a small-market franchise with limited margin for error, creating additional pressure when players know they must perform despite suboptimal physical conditions. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when heat and humidity compound fatigue factors, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity between teams can exploit any physical or mental lapses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as two days rest?
The Cincinnati Reds have an ATS record of 58-64-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.5% ATS win rate over 122 games.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as two days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cincinnati Reds with two days rest is not profitable. The team has produced a -9.2% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately $9.20 for every $100 wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS break-even rate that defines league average. The Reds' 47.5% ATS win rate with two days rest indicates they consistently fail to cover spreads in this situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.