Cincinnati Reds On a 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cincinnati Reds in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the Cincinnati Reds are just 447-472-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 34-41-0 | 0.0% | -13.4% |
| 2015 | 36-37-0 | 0.0% | -5.8% |
| 2016 | 41-45-0 | 0.0% | -9.0% |
| 2017 | 39-55-0 | 0.0% | -20.8% |
| 2018 | 52-44-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2019 | 44-41-1 | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2020 | 25-43-0 | 0.0% | -29.8% |
| 2021 | 49-36-1 | 0.0% | +10.1% |
| 2022 | 40-41-0 | 0.0% | -5.7% |
| 2023 | 54-43-0 | 0.0% | +6.3% |
| 2024 | 33-46-0 | 0.0% | -20.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Reds' struggles during extended losing streaks stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the veteran leadership and mental fortitude needed to halt negative momentum. Cincinnati's roster construction over the past decade has often featured young, inexperienced players who compound mistakes when adversity strikes, leading to pressing at the plate and defensive lapses that extend losing runs. The team's pitching staff becomes particularly vulnerable during these stretches, as starters lose confidence and begin nibbling around the strike zone while relievers face increased pressure in high-leverage situations. Cincinnati's offensive approach also deteriorates significantly, with hitters abandoning their discipline and swinging at pitches outside the zone in desperate attempts to spark rallies. This creates a cascading effect where poor plate appearances lead to quick innings, putting additional strain on an already struggling pitching staff. The psychological weight of playing in a smaller market like Cincinnati amplifies these issues, as local media scrutiny intensifies and fan frustration becomes palpable. Players begin gripping the bat too tightly and overthinking routine plays that normally come naturally. This trend carries the most betting value when the Reds face quality opponents during three-game losing streaks, as oddsmakers often haven't fully adjusted for their tendency to extend negative runs against superior competition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?
The Cincinnati Reds have an ATS record of 447-472-2 when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents a win rate of 48.6% against the spread in these situations.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Cincinnati Reds when on a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a negative ROI of -7.1% over the 2014-2024 period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The -7.1% ROI indicates the Reds consistently underperform expectations when in extended losing streaks compared to what oddsmakers project.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.