The public often underestimates the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Chicago White Sox hold a record of 50-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $15 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record50-30-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size80 games
ROI+19.3%
Units Won+15.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-6-00.0%-36.4%
20155-3-00.0%+19.3%
20167-2-00.0%+48.5%
20177-4-00.0%+21.5%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20191-4-00.0%-61.8%
20205-2-00.0%+36.4%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20227-1-00.0%+67.0%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20248-1-00.0%+69.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The White Sox thrive in small underdog spots because they've historically been built for competitive balance rather than dominance, creating a perfect storm for covering tight spreads. When facing slightly favored opponents, Chicago typically finds itself in games where the talent gap is minimal, allowing their pitching depth and situational hitting to shine through. These narrow underdog roles often occur against division rivals or teams with similar records, where familiarity breeds competitive games that swing on execution rather than raw talent. Chicago's recent organizational philosophy has emphasized building scrappy, fundamentally sound teams that perform better when expectations are tempered. As small underdogs, the pressure shifts to their opponents to justify their favored status, while the White Sox can play loose and capitalize on mistakes. Their pitching staff has consistently kept games close enough for late-game heroics, and their lineup tends to grind out at-bats more effectively when they're not expected to dominate. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Chicago enters these spots against teams they've played well historically, particularly in divisional matchups where the familiarity factor levels the playing field. This trend matters most during mid-season stretches when the White Sox face AL Central opponents or interleague rivals with similar win totals.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Chicago White Sox have gone 50-30-0 against the spread as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 62.5% ATS win rate over 80 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chicago White Sox as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 19.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 62.5% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The White Sox's 62.5% ATS win rate as small underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50% in spread betting. This 12.5 percentage point edge over expectation makes it one of their strongest situational trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.