The public often underestimates the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Chicago White Sox hold a record of 136-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $99 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record136-25-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size161 games
ROI+61.3%
Units Won+98.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-2-00.0%+68.5%
201513-2-00.0%+65.5%
201613-6-00.0%+30.6%
201712-1-00.0%+76.2%
201814-3-00.0%+57.2%
201913-2-00.0%+65.5%
202014-2-00.0%+67.0%
20218-3-00.0%+38.8%
202215-1-00.0%+79.0%
20239-1-00.0%+71.8%
202410-2-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The White Sox's dominance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a scrappy, defensive-minded club that thrives when expectations are lowered. This spread range typically occurs when they face quality opponents on the road or during perceived disadvantageous matchups, creating the perfect storm for Chicago to exceed diminished expectations. The franchise has historically built teams around pitching depth and opportunistic offense rather than star power, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers discount their chances. Their blue-collar approach becomes amplified in underdog spots where they can lean into their identity as grinders who capitalize on opponents' overconfidence. The White Sox also tend to perform better when the pressure shifts away from them, allowing their veteran leadership to guide younger players through challenging situations. Chicago's recent organizational philosophy emphasizes situational hitting and bullpen depth, two elements that become magnified in close games where medium underdog spreads often land. Their ability to manufacture runs late in games and deploy specialized relievers gives them edges that don't always show up in basic metrics that drive public perception. Target this trend most aggressively during interleague play and road series against American League contenders, where the market typically overvalues opponent advantages while underestimating Chicago's systematic approach.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Chicago White Sox have an exceptional 136-25-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to an outstanding 84.5% ATS win rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chicago White Sox as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 61.3% ROI. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS with minimal ROI. The White Sox's 84.5% ATS rate and 61.3% ROI in this spot is exceptionally rare in sports betting.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.