Chicago White Sox Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Chicago White Sox hold a record of 171-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +76.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $141 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 15-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 23-3-0 | 0.0% | +68.9% |
| 2017 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2018 | 16-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.7% |
| 2019 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2020 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2022 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 14-1-0 | 0.0% | +78.2% |
| 2024 | 14-2-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chicago White Sox's exceptional performance as massive underdogs stems from their organizational culture of gritty, never-quit baseball that thrives when expectations are lowest. When oddsmakers price them at +7.5 runs or higher, it typically reflects games against elite pitching or during particularly rough stretches, creating the perfect storm for variance to work in their favor. These extreme underdog situations often coincide with the White Sox deploying veteran role players and scrappy lineup construction that can manufacture runs through small ball tactics - stolen bases, hit-and-runs, and timely two-out hitting. Their pitching staff, while inconsistent, has historically featured arms capable of keeping games closer than expected through effective bullpen management and strategic matchup exploitation. The psychological factor cannot be understated. Teams facing such heavy underdogs often play with reduced intensity, assuming an easy victory. Meanwhile, the White Sox enter these contests with nothing to lose, leading to aggressive base running and unconventional strategic decisions that can catch opponents off-guard. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the White Sox are being overpriced due to recent poor performance rather than true talent gaps. This trend matters most during interleague play and against AL powerhouses when public perception creates inflated spreads.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 171-14-0 as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents a 92.4% ATS win rate over 185 games.
Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chicago White Sox as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 76.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their poor overall performance, they consistently cover large spreads.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 92.4% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the league average of approximately 50% for covering spreads. The White Sox's ability to cover as large underdogs is exceptionally rare in sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.