Chicago White Sox Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Chicago White Sox are just 10-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -59.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +59.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The White Sox's struggles as home favorites on zero rest expose a franchise-wide issue with handling expectations and quick turnarounds. Chicago has historically been a team that relies heavily on routine and preparation, making them particularly vulnerable when forced to play consecutive games without the luxury of rest and mental reset. Their pitching staff, often constructed around power arms rather than finesse, tends to suffer more dramatically when fatigued, leading to inflated run totals that work against the betting line. The psychological burden of being favored at home creates additional pressure for a franchise that has spent decades in the shadow of the Cubs. When the White Sox are expected to win, especially in rapid succession, they often press too hard and make uncharacteristic mistakes. This manifests in poor bullpen management decisions and aggressive offensive approaches that backfire against quality opponents who arrive as road underdogs with nothing to lose. The team's organizational culture has consistently struggled with maintaining focus during compressed schedules, particularly when playing at Guaranteed Rate Field where fan expectations run highest. Smart bettors should strongly consider fading the White Sox in these exact scenarios, especially when the line suggests public confidence in Chicago's ability to bounce back immediately. This trend carries maximum weight during summer months when zero-rest situations become more frequent due to makeup games and tight scheduling around the All-Star break.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Chicago White Sox have a 10-37-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 21.3% ATS win rate, meaning they've failed to cover the spread in 37 of 47 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Chicago White Sox as home favorites on zero rest has been extremely unprofitable with a -59.4% ROI. This means bettors would have lost nearly 60% of their investment over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform around 50% ATS over large samples. The White Sox's 21.3% ATS rate in this situation represents one of the worst situational trends in baseball betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.