The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Chicago White Sox are just 15-90-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -72.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +72.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record15-90-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size105 games
ROI-72.7%
Units Won-76.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-11-00.0%-100.0%
20150-4-00.0%-100.0%
20162-6-00.0%-52.3%
20171-7-00.0%-76.1%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20191-9-00.0%-80.9%
20202-8-00.0%-61.8%
20211-15-00.0%-88.1%
20224-8-00.0%-36.4%
20231-12-00.0%-85.3%
20240-8-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The White Sox's dismal performance as road favorites following losses stems from a toxic combination of organizational instability and psychological fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. When Chicago enters hostile territory as a betting favorite after absorbing a defeat, they consistently fail to respond with the mental toughness required to justify public confidence. This pattern reflects deeper issues with leadership and clubhouse culture, where adversity compounds rather than galvanizes the team. Road favorites in baseball must possess exceptional starting pitching and mental resilience to overcome both the previous game's disappointment and an unfriendly environment. The White Sox have historically lacked both elements, particularly during their rebuilding years when young players crumbled under pressure situations. Their inability to bounce back as road chalk suggests a franchise that struggles with accountability and preparation, making them vulnerable to motivated home underdogs who sense weakness. The actionable insight here is crystal clear: fade the White Sox as road favorites after any loss, regardless of matchup advantages or public perception. This trend carries maximum weight when Chicago faces division rivals or teams fighting for playoff positioning, as these opponents possess extra motivation to exploit the White Sox's documented mental fragility.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Chicago White Sox have a 15-90-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents an extremely poor 14.3% ATS win rate over 105 games.

Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago White Sox as away favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -72.7% ROI. This trend has been consistently losing money for bettors over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS. The White Sox's 14.3% ATS rate in this situation represents one of the worst trends in baseball betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.