The Chicago Cubs show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 57-54-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record57-54-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size113 games
ROI-2.0%
Units Won-2.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-5-00.0%+11.4%
20153-4-10.0%-18.2%
20167-5-00.0%+11.4%
20177-3-00.0%+33.6%
20184-9-00.0%-41.3%
20193-5-10.0%-28.4%
20204-6-00.0%-23.6%
20216-5-00.0%+4.1%
20228-5-00.0%+17.5%
20235-6-00.0%-13.2%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cubs' mediocre performance on two days rest reflects the organization's traditionally cautious approach to player management, particularly during their competitive window from 2015-2017. Chicago's front office has consistently prioritized long-term health over short-term gains, often resting key position players or limiting at-bats for aging veterans when facing compressed schedules. This conservative strategy frequently leaves the Cubs fielding suboptimal lineups precisely when betting markets haven't fully adjusted for the personnel changes. The team's pitching staff construction also plays a crucial role in this trend. Chicago has historically relied on veteran starters who perform better with adequate rest, and their bullpen depth has been inconsistent across different seasons. When forced into two-day rest scenarios, the Cubs often deploy lesser relievers earlier in games or ask starters to pitch through fatigue, creating late-inning vulnerabilities that sharp bettors can exploit. The psychological factor cannot be overlooked either. Cubs players have shown a pattern of pressing in these situations, particularly during high-stakes stretches of the season when every game carries playoff implications. This trend becomes most valuable when evaluating Cubs games during September pennant races or early-season series where roster management philosophies are most apparent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Cubs's ATS record as two days rest?

The Chicago Cubs have an ATS record of 57-54-2 when playing on two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.4% ATS win rate over 113 total games.

Is betting on the Chicago Cubs as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Cubs on two days rest is not profitable, showing a -2.0% ROI. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cubs' 51.4% ATS win rate on two days rest is slightly above the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. However, the -2.0% ROI suggests they may be overvalued by oddsmakers in this situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.