Chicago Cubs Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Chicago Cubs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Chicago Cubs hold a record of 215-41-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $154 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18-5-0 | 0.0% | +49.4% |
| 2015 | 18-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.9% |
| 2016 | 15-3-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2017 | 20-4-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 21-3-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2019 | 14-4-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2020 | 22-4-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2021 | 24-8-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 23-1-0 | 0.0% | +83.0% |
| 2023 | 24-4-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 16-4-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cubs' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and situational advantages that create tremendous betting value at Wrigley Field. When oddsmakers underestimate Chicago at home, they're often overlooking the team's ability to elevate their play in front of their passionate fanbase, particularly against supposedly superior opponents. The intimate confines of Wrigley Field amplify crowd energy, while the unique ballpark dimensions and wind patterns can neutralize opposing teams' advantages, especially when those teams aren't familiar with the nuances of playing there. Chicago's organizational culture has historically thrived in underdog scenarios, where the pressure shifts to the favored opponent while the Cubs play loose and aggressive. The team's hitters tend to see the ball better in familiar surroundings, and their pitching staff knows exactly how to attack visiting batters who may struggle with Wrigley's sight lines and atmospheric conditions. Smart bettors should target Cubs home underdog spots when they're facing teams from different divisions, as those opponents lack recent experience with Wrigley's quirks. This trend carries the most weight during day games and when weather conditions favor the home team's familiarity with wind patterns and field characteristics.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago Cubs's ATS record as home underdog?
The Chicago Cubs have an ATS record of 215-41-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents 256 total games where they were favored to lose at home but covered the spread 215 times.
Is betting on the Chicago Cubs as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cubs as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 60.3% ROI over this period. Despite their 0.0% straight-up win rate, they've consistently covered spreads as home underdogs.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams struggle to maintain profitable ATS records over extended periods. A 60.3% ROI over 10+ years indicates exceptional value when betting Cubs home underdog situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.