The Chicago Cubs show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 252-223-3 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.3%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record252-223-3
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size478 games
ROI+1.3%
Units Won+6.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201422-17-00.0%+7.7%
201521-14-10.0%+14.6%
201619-17-00.0%+0.8%
201725-22-00.0%+1.6%
201824-17-00.0%+11.8%
201917-21-10.0%-14.6%
202026-32-00.0%-14.4%
202126-24-10.0%-0.7%
202224-24-00.0%-4.5%
202329-17-00.0%+20.4%
202419-18-00.0%-2.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cubs' solid home ATS performance stems from their ability to leverage Wrigley Field's unique characteristics and the psychological boost of their passionate fanbase. The Friendly Confines creates distinct advantages with its ivy-covered walls, wind patterns that can dramatically alter game dynamics, and dimensions that favor certain hitting approaches. Chicago's hitters historically perform better in familiar conditions, while visiting teams often struggle with the ballpark's quirks and the intense atmosphere generated by Cubs faithful. The team's home success also reflects their organizational approach to roster construction, typically building lineups that complement Wrigley's environment. When the Cubs are competitive, their pitching staff tends to understand how to work the strike zone effectively at home, using the ballpark's dimensions to induce favorable contact. The psychological edge cannot be understated either - Cubs players feed off the energy of their devoted fanbase, particularly during day games when the atmosphere reaches peak intensity. For bettors, the key insight is targeting Cubs home games when they're facing teams with poor road records or squads making their first visit to Wrigley in a season. This trend matters most during the summer months when day games are frequent and the ballpark's unique conditions create maximum separation between Chicago and their opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Cubs's ATS record as home games?

The Chicago Cubs have an ATS record of 252-223-3 in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.0% ATS win rate over 478 total home games during this period.

Is betting on the Chicago Cubs as home games profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chicago Cubs in home games has been profitable with a 1.3% ROI from 2014-2024. While the profit margin is modest, it represents positive returns over this 11-year span.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cubs' 53.0% home ATS win rate is above the break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard -110 odds. This performance is slightly better than average, as most teams cluster around 50% ATS over long periods.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.