The public often underestimates the Chicago Cubs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Chicago Cubs hold a record of 76-11-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +66.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $59 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record76-11-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size88 games
ROI+66.8%
Units Won+58.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-0-00.0%+90.9%
20157-1-00.0%+67.0%
20166-1-00.0%+63.6%
20176-2-10.0%+43.2%
20184-0-00.0%+90.9%
20196-1-00.0%+63.6%
20204-1-00.0%+52.7%
20218-2-00.0%+52.7%
20224-0-00.0%+90.9%
202310-2-00.0%+59.1%
202413-1-00.0%+77.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cubs' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Chicago wins a game, particularly on the road, they carry forward the confidence and rhythm that translates directly into their next contest. This momentum effect is amplified by the underdog role, which removes pressure while maintaining the positive energy from their previous success. The betting market consistently undervalues teams in this specific situational spot, particularly when dealing with a franchise that has historically embraced the underdog mentality. Chicago's organizational culture, built around resilience and proving doubters wrong, thrives in these exact circumstances. The combination of recent success and being dismissed by oddsmakers creates an ideal psychological setup for motivated performances. Market perception often lags behind team reality, especially when evaluating road teams that just secured a victory. Bettors and oddsmakers alike tend to overweight home field advantage while undervaluing the confidence boost that comes from winning momentum, creating consistent line value. This trend carries maximum significance when the Cubs face division rivals or in series where they've already stolen a road victory, as the psychological edge becomes even more pronounced against familiar opponents who expected to dominate at home.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Cubs's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Chicago Cubs have an outstanding 76-11-1 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents an 87.4% ATS win rate over 88 games.

Is betting on the Chicago Cubs as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cubs as away underdogs after a win has been extremely profitable with a 66.8% ROI. This trend has generated consistent value for bettors over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 87.4% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The Cubs' performance in this spot is exceptionally strong compared to other MLB teams.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.