The Chicago Cubs show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 211-196-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record211-196-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size409 games
ROI-1.0%
Units Won-4.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201422-20-00.0%0.0%
201515-17-00.0%-10.5%
201614-17-00.0%-13.8%
201720-19-10.0%-2.1%
201816-19-00.0%-12.7%
201917-18-10.0%-7.3%
202019-13-00.0%+13.3%
202122-14-00.0%+16.7%
202220-27-00.0%-18.8%
202320-20-00.0%-4.5%
202426-12-00.0%+30.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cubs' mediocre performance after wins reflects a franchise caught between rebuilding phases and competitive windows, creating inconsistent motivation and preparation patterns. Chicago's young core has historically struggled with the mental aspects of maintaining momentum, often showing a tendency to relax after positive results rather than building sustained winning streaks. This psychological letdown is particularly pronounced when facing inferior opponents, where the Cubs have frequently played down to competition levels following victories. The team's organizational culture under various management regimes has emphasized development over consistency, leading to lineup experimentation and rest days for key players after wins. This approach, while beneficial for long-term player development, creates unpredictable performance patterns that sharp bettors have exploited. The Cubs' bullpen volatility over this sample period has also contributed to blown leads and disappointing follow-up performances, especially in games where they're expected to capitalize on previous success. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Cubs face divisional rivals or playoff-contending teams after wins, as these matchups typically produce their most focused efforts. This trend matters most during summer months when roster experimentation peaks and the team's true competitive intentions become clearer.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Cubs's ATS record as after a win?

The Chicago Cubs have an ATS record of 211-196-2 (51.8% win rate) after a win from 2014-2024. This represents 409 total games where they were favored or underdogs following a victory.

Is betting on the Chicago Cubs as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Cubs after a win has not been profitable, showing a -1.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative ROI indicates losses when accounting for standard betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cubs' 51.8% ATS win rate after victories is slightly above the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. However, the -1.0% ROI suggests their performance is roughly in line with league averages when factoring in sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.