Boston Red Sox One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Boston Red Sox hold a record of 91-69-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +8.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2016 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2017 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2019 | 12-10-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2021 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2022 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
| 2023 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Red Sox have historically thrived on one day of rest due to their organizational philosophy of aggressive roster management and strategic pitching deployment. Boston's front office has consistently built deep bullpens and maintained flexible starting rotations that allow them to maximize rest advantages without disrupting rhythm. This approach particularly benefits their veteran position players, who tend to respond well to the mental reset that comes with a single off-day rather than extended layoffs that can disrupt timing at the plate. The team's Fenway Park advantage amplifies this trend significantly. The unique dimensions and playing conditions require specific defensive alignments and hitting approaches that visiting teams struggle to adjust to after brief preparation periods. Boston players, intimately familiar with these nuances, gain a pronounced edge when they're mentally fresh but still in competitive rhythm. Their historically strong clubhouse culture also plays a role, as veteran leadership has consistently kept the team focused during these crucial bounce-back spots. The most profitable opportunities emerge when Boston returns home on one day's rest against teams coming off longer layoffs, particularly during summer months when Fenway's conditions are most challenging for opponents to navigate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as one day rest?
The Boston Red Sox have an ATS record of 91-69-0 when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56.9% ATS win rate over 160 games.
Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as one day rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Boston Red Sox on one day rest has been profitable with an 8.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the strong ATS performance, their actual win rate in these games was 0.0%.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 56.9% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical 52.4% break-even threshold for sports betting. The 8.6% ROI indicates consistent value when backing the Red Sox in this specific situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.