Boston Red Sox Zero Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Boston Red Sox are just 115-118-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-16-0 | 0.0% | -54.5% |
| 2015 | 18-11-0 | 0.0% | +18.5% |
| 2016 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2018 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2021 | 6-13-1 | 0.0% | -39.7% |
| 2022 | 18-11-0 | 0.0% | +18.5% |
| 2023 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Red Sox's underwhelming performance on zero days rest stems from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes long-term player health over short-term competitive advantages. Boston's front office has consistently emphasized rest and recovery, particularly for aging veterans and injury-prone players who have comprised much of their roster over the past decade. This cautious approach often means key players receive scheduled rest days or limited innings, creating lineups that lack their usual punch. Boston's bullpen construction compounds this issue, as their relief corps has frequently been built around specialists rather than workhorses capable of handling back-to-back high-leverage situations. When games stretch into extra innings or require multiple relievers on consecutive days, the Red Sox often deploy lesser arms earlier than optimal, creating vulnerable spots that sharp bettors can exploit. The team's analytical approach also works against them in these spots, as they're more likely to overthink matchups and make defensive substitutions that disrupt offensive rhythm. Their tendency to platoon players means fewer at-bats for role players in crucial situations. This trend carries the most weight during summer stretches when Boston faces division rivals in tight pennant races, as the pressure to rest stars conflicts with immediate competitive needs.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as zero days rest?
The Boston Red Sox have an ATS record of 115-118-1 when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.4% ATS win rate over 234 games.
Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as zero days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Boston Red Sox on zero days rest is not profitable with a -5.8% ROI. Their 49.4% ATS win rate falls short of the 52.4% needed to break even against standard -110 odds.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Red Sox's 49.4% ATS win rate on zero days rest is slightly below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -5.8% ROI indicates consistent underperformance against the betting market in these situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.