The public often underestimates the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Boston Red Sox hold a record of 259-206-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $30 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record259-206-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size467 games
ROI+6.3%
Units Won+29.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-23-00.0%-18.9%
201523-26-10.0%-10.4%
201625-18-00.0%+11.0%
201720-17-00.0%+3.2%
201825-16-10.0%+16.4%
201926-24-00.0%-0.7%
202021-14-00.0%+14.6%
202120-19-00.0%-2.1%
202230-16-00.0%+24.5%
202328-14-00.0%+27.3%
202424-19-00.0%+6.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Red Sox's strong home performance against the spread stems from several interconnected factors that create a perfect storm for betting value at Fenway Park. Boston's intimate ballpark dimensions, particularly the Green Monster in left field, fundamentally alter opposing teams' offensive approaches and pitcher strategies. Visiting teams often struggle with the unique angles and caroms off the 37-foot wall, while Red Sox hitters have spent countless hours mastering these nuances through batting practice and game experience. Boston's organizational philosophy emphasizes building lineups specifically suited for Fenway's quirks, historically favoring right-handed power hitters who can exploit the short left field. This home-field advantage becomes even more pronounced when facing teams from pitcher-friendly parks who aren't accustomed to the offensive environment. The psychological comfort of familiar surroundings also manifests in clutch situations, where Red Sox players demonstrate measurably better plate discipline and situational hitting. The betting market consistently undervalues these environmental factors, creating exploitable opportunities when Boston faces teams making their first trip to Fenway each season or clubs with predominantly left-handed rotations. This trend holds maximum value during interleague play and early-season series when visiting teams haven't yet adjusted to the park's unique characteristics.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as home games?

The Boston Red Sox have an ATS record of 259-206-2 in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.7% win rate against the spread over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as home games profitable?

Yes, betting on the Boston Red Sox in home games has been profitable with a 6.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This positive return indicates consistent value when backing the Red Sox against the spread at Fenway Park.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Red Sox's 55.7% ATS win rate and 6.3% ROI in home games outperforms typical league averages. Most teams hover around 50% ATS with near-zero ROI, making Boston's home performance notably above average.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.