The Boston Red Sox show mixed results as away after 2+ wins. Since 2014, they're 236-233-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record236-233-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size471 games
ROI-3.9%
Units Won-18.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-25-00.0%-38.1%
201524-28-00.0%-11.9%
201623-17-00.0%+9.8%
201723-18-00.0%+7.1%
201820-14-00.0%+12.3%
201923-31-00.0%-18.7%
202020-15-00.0%+9.1%
202122-18-20.0%+5.0%
202229-27-00.0%-1.1%
202317-22-00.0%-16.8%
202423-18-00.0%+7.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Red Sox's mediocre performance as road favorites following multiple wins stems from a combination of organizational culture and strategic tendencies that have persisted across different roster iterations. Boston's analytical approach often emphasizes matchup-specific lineups and bullpen usage, but this data-driven methodology can backfire on the road where comfort with routine matters more than marginal gains. The team historically struggles with the psychological shift from celebrating recent success to maintaining focus in hostile environments, particularly when oddsmakers expect them to continue their winning ways. Boston's offensive philosophy, built around working counts and capitalizing on mistakes, becomes less effective away from Fenway Park's unique dimensions and familiar surroundings. Road venues often neutralize the Red Sox's patient approach, as opposing pitchers gain confidence from crowd support and home plate umpires may have tighter strike zones. The team's pitching staff, regardless of era, has shown vulnerability to early-inning pressure when carrying the burden of public expectation following recent victories. Smart bettors should consider fading Boston in this spot when they're laying significant chalk, particularly against divisional opponents who know their tendencies well. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when travel fatigue compounds the psychological challenges of maintaining momentum away from home.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Boston Red Sox have a 236-233-2 ATS record when playing away after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.3% ATS win rate over 471 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Boston Red Sox away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -3.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses when accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend performs slightly below league average expectations. While the 50.3% ATS win rate is marginally above break-even, the -3.9% ROI suggests underperformance compared to typical betting market efficiency.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.