Baltimore Orioles Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Baltimore Orioles are just 20-79-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -61.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +61.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2016 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2017 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2018 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-15-0 | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| 2020 | 0-12-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Orioles' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a perfect storm of psychological and organizational factors that have plagued the franchise for most of the past decade. Baltimore's roster construction during this period has been built around young, developing talent rather than veteran leadership, creating a team that lacks the mental fortitude to bounce back quickly from adversity. When playing away from Camden Yards after absorbing a defeat, these younger players often compound their mistakes by pressing too hard to immediately rectify the situation. The franchise's rebuilding mentality has also created lineups that rely heavily on inconsistent offensive contributors and developing pitchers who haven't yet learned to manage the emotional swings of professional baseball. Road environments amplify these weaknesses, as the Orioles have consistently struggled to maintain their offensive rhythm in hostile ballparks while their pitching staff has been prone to implosion innings that quickly turn manageable games into blowouts. The betting market has historically overvalued Baltimore's talent level during their competitive windows, creating inflated lines that don't account for their poor road composure. Smart bettors should target this trend most aggressively when the Orioles are favored by more than a run on the road after dropping a divisional game, as the emotional weight of those losses tends to carry over most dramatically.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Baltimore Orioles have gone 20-79-0 ATS as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 20.2% ATS win rate over 99 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Baltimore Orioles as away favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -61.4% ROI. This trend has been consistently poor over the 11-year period from 2014-2024.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS in similar situations. The Orioles' 20.2% ATS rate in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in baseball.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.