Baltimore Orioles After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Baltimore Orioles are just 183-215-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-12-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 15-23-0 | 0.0% | -24.6% |
| 2016 | 15-17-0 | 0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2017 | 19-33-0 | 0.0% | -30.2% |
| 2018 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2019 | 9-23-0 | 0.0% | -46.3% |
| 2020 | 13-25-0 | 0.0% | -34.7% |
| 2021 | 21-22-1 | 0.0% | -6.8% |
| 2022 | 23-22-0 | 0.0% | -2.4% |
| 2023 | 22-11-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 17-13-0 | 0.0% | +8.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Orioles' struggles after losses stem from a combination of organizational culture shifts and roster construction patterns that have defined the franchise over the past decade. During their rebuilding years, Baltimore often lacked the veteran leadership and mental fortitude necessary to bounce back from adversity, leading to extended losing streaks that crushed their ability to cover spreads consistently. The team's young core frequently showed signs of pressing after defeats, resulting in poor plate discipline and defensive lapses that made them particularly vulnerable to public betting sentiment. Baltimore's pitching depth has historically been their Achilles heel in bounce-back spots, with their bullpen often overextended following losses. When starters struggle, the cascading effect typically carries into the next game, as relievers who pitched heavy innings become unavailable or less effective. The organization's analytical approach sometimes works against them in these emotional spots, as their by-the-numbers strategy can appear mechanical when what's needed is raw competitive fire. The recent uptick in their bounce-back performance coincides with improved veteran presence and better bullpen management under current leadership. Bettors should focus on this trend most when Baltimore faces division rivals after losses, as these games carry extra motivation that can override their historical pattern of post-loss struggles.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as after a loss?
The Baltimore Orioles have gone 183-215-1 against the spread (ATS) when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.0% ATS win rate over 399 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Baltimore Orioles after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -12.2% return on investment (ROI). This negative ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Orioles in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Orioles' 46.0% ATS win rate after losses is below the typical break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard -110 betting juice. This performance suggests they struggle to cover spreads when attempting to bounce back from defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.