The data suggests caution when backing the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive wins, the Baltimore Orioles are just 434-451-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record434-451-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size886 games
ROI-6.4%
Units Won-56.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201434-29-00.0%+3.0%
201539-44-00.0%-10.3%
201642-38-00.0%+0.2%
201745-55-00.0%-14.1%
201840-37-00.0%-0.8%
201930-45-00.0%-23.6%
202028-44-00.0%-25.8%
202145-47-10.0%-6.6%
202243-48-00.0%-9.8%
202345-35-00.0%+7.4%
202443-29-00.0%+14.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Orioles' struggles after consecutive wins reflect a franchise historically plagued by inconsistency and momentum management issues. Baltimore's organizational culture has long emphasized individual development over sustained team chemistry, creating a roster that excels in spurts but fails to capitalize on positive momentum. This pattern intensifies when young players feel pressure to maintain elevated performance levels, leading to pressing at the plate and overthinking on the mound. The team's bullpen construction compounds this issue, as Baltimore often deploys their best relievers during winning streaks, leaving them unavailable for crucial late-game situations in subsequent contests. Their offensive approach also shifts dramatically after wins, becoming overly aggressive against opposing pitching staffs who adjust by attacking the strike zone more frequently. Recent seasons show improvement in this area, suggesting the current front office recognizes these historical patterns. However, the underlying tendency remains embedded in the franchise's DNA, particularly when facing quality opponents who can exploit Baltimore's tendency to relax after success. Bettors should target the Orioles as fade candidates when they're coming off back-to-back victories against divisional rivals, especially in day games following night wins where fatigue amplifies these psychological factors.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?

The Baltimore Orioles have an ATS record of 434-451-1 (49.0%) when playing after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This represents 886 total games over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?

No, betting on the Baltimore Orioles after 2+ consecutive wins is not profitable. The team shows a -6.4% ROI, meaning bettors would lose $6.40 for every $100 wagered on this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The 49.0% win rate and negative ROI indicate the Orioles consistently underperform expectations when coming off winning streaks.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.