Atlanta Braves Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 43-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and opportunistic play. When slightly unfavored, Atlanta tends to elevate their approach, particularly in their pitching execution and timely hitting. The team's deep farm system has consistently produced players who thrive under pressure, creating a roster that doesn't fold when facing modest adversity. Atlanta's strategic advantage in these spots often comes from their ability to exploit opposing teams that may be overconfident. When the Braves are small underdogs, it typically means they're facing quality opponents on relatively even footing, situations where their veteran leadership and playoff experience become difference-makers. Their bullpen depth allows them to stay competitive in close games, while their lineup's ability to work counts and capitalize on mistakes becomes magnified when opponents expect easier victories. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise has built an identity around proving doubters wrong, dating back to their 1990s dynasty. Modern Braves teams channel this same energy when slightly disrespected by oddsmakers. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague play, where familiarity breeds the type of competitive balance that creates small underdog scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Atlanta Braves have a 43-26-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.3% ATS win rate over 69 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 19.0% ROI. Their 62.3% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well above league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Braves' 62.3% ATS rate and 19.0% ROI as small underdogs represents exceptional value over this 11-year period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.