Atlanta Braves Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Atlanta Braves are just 129-144-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2015 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2016 | 10-17-0 | 0.0% | -29.3% |
| 2017 | 15-6-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2018 | 7-11-0 | 0.0% | -25.8% |
| 2019 | 9-13-1 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2020 | 12-18-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2022 | 11-15-0 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
| 2023 | 11-16-0 | 0.0% | -22.2% |
| 2024 | 15-10-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' struggles against the spread with extended rest reflect a franchise that has historically thrived on rhythm and momentum rather than preparation time. Atlanta's organizational culture has long emphasized aggressive, instinctive play - particularly in their hitting approach - which can become disrupted when players have too much time to overthink their mechanics. The team's batting philosophy has traditionally favored first-pitch aggressiveness and situational hitting, skills that can deteriorate when hitters get rusty from extended layoffs. Extended rest also tends to hurt the Braves' bullpen chemistry more than most teams. Atlanta has frequently relied on high-leverage relievers who need regular work to maintain their command, and three-plus days off can leave these pitchers searching for their release point in crucial late-inning situations. The franchise's developmental approach has also meant younger players often comprise significant roster portions, and these less experienced players typically struggle more with timing disruptions than veterans. Smart bettors should consider fading Atlanta in their first game back from extended rest, particularly when they're favored against teams coming off regular rest. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Braves return from All-Star breaks or weather-related postponements, as these scenarios maximize the rust factor while opponents maintain their competitive timing.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Atlanta Braves have a 129-144-1 ATS record when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.3% ATS win rate over 274 games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Braves with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -9.8% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Braves' 47.3% ATS win rate with extended rest is below the typical 50% expectation for ATS performance. Their -9.8% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when well-rested compared to league norms.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.