Atlanta Braves Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 102-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +59.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $73 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-3-0 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2015 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2016 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2017 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2018 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2019 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2020 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2021 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2022 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2024 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Atlanta Braves' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When the Braves win on the road or at home, they return to Truist Park with confidence intact, yet the betting market often undervalues this momentum when they face a supposedly superior opponent. The team's strong organizational culture under management has consistently produced clubs that don't fold under pressure, instead using the underdog role as motivation. Atlanta's home field advantage becomes amplified in these spots because their veteran-heavy lineups tend to thrive in familiar surroundings when carrying positive energy from recent success. The Braves have historically featured patient hitters who work counts and capitalize on opponent mistakes, traits that become more pronounced when they're playing loose as underdogs rather than tight as favorites. Additionally, their pitching staff has shown remarkable consistency in bounce-back performances, particularly when the pressure shifts to the opposing starter who's expected to dominate. Smart bettors should target this trend when the Braves are catching plus-money against quality opponents after any type of victory, especially when facing teams on short rest or in potential letdown spots.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Atlanta Braves have an exceptional 102-20-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an outstanding 83.6% ATS win rate over 122 games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 59.6% ROI. This represents one of the most consistent and profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Braves' 83.6% ATS win rate in this situation is exceptionally rare and represents elite value for bettors.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.