The public often underestimates the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Atlanta Braves hold a record of 89-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +49.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $56 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record89-25-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size114 games
ROI+49.0%
Units Won+55.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-1-00.0%+71.8%
20157-2-00.0%+48.5%
20167-1-00.0%+67.0%
201717-0-00.0%+90.9%
20186-1-00.0%+63.6%
20198-1-00.0%+69.7%
20203-6-00.0%-36.4%
20216-3-00.0%+27.3%
20227-1-00.0%+67.0%
202311-5-00.0%+31.2%
20248-4-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Braves' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to leverage momentum in hostile environments. When Atlanta enters an away game as the underdog after a win, they carry the psychological advantage of recent success while facing reduced expectations from oddsmakers who may be overvaluing home field advantage or recent opponent performance. This trend particularly benefits from the Braves' veteran leadership core and their historically strong road mentality under recent management. The team has consistently demonstrated an ability to maintain focus and execution when playing with house money, as the underdog role removes pressure while the previous win provides confidence. Their disciplined approach to plate discipline and situational hitting becomes more pronounced when they're not expected to win, allowing them to capitalize on opponent mistakes and starter fatigue in later innings. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the market overreacts to recent Braves struggles or overvalues their opponent's home advantage. Atlanta's veteran presence and playoff-tested roster thrives in these spots where expectations are tempered. This trend matters most during divisional road series and interleague play, where unfamiliarity with opponents can create additional value in the betting lines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Atlanta Braves have an outstanding 89-25-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 78.1% ATS win rate over 114 games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Atlanta Braves as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 49.0% ROI. This represents one of the most consistent and profitable betting trends in baseball.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the typical league average ATS win rate of around 50%. The Braves' 78.1% ATS success rate in this specific situation is exceptionally strong compared to standard betting expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.