The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 62-77-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record62-77-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size139 games
ROI-14.8%
Units Won-20.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-6-00.0%-23.6%
20156-5-00.0%+4.1%
20161-5-00.0%-68.2%
20178-9-00.0%-10.2%
20187-9-00.0%-16.5%
20196-7-00.0%-11.9%
202012-7-00.0%+20.6%
20216-12-00.0%-36.4%
20226-3-00.0%+27.3%
20233-8-00.0%-47.9%
20243-6-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' struggles on two days rest stem from their organizational philosophy prioritizing player health over short-term performance gains. Arizona has consistently operated with one of the more conservative medical staffs in baseball, often erring on the side of caution when it comes to player workload management. This approach becomes particularly evident in situations where teams might push harder for wins, as the Diamondbacks tend to rest key players or limit their usage rather than risk injury. Arizona's roster construction has historically leaned toward older veterans and players with injury histories, making the team especially vulnerable when operating on limited rest. The desert heat also plays a factor during home games, as the combination of reduced recovery time and extreme temperatures creates additional physical stress that impacts performance quality. The franchise's frequent rebuilding phases have meant less organizational depth, forcing them to rely on marginal players when regulars need additional recovery time. Bettors should view Diamondbacks games following short rest as fade opportunities, particularly when they're road favorites or in divisional matchups where the opposition has superior depth. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when Arizona's home games coincide with peak desert temperatures and the cumulative effects of a long season become most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as two days rest?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 62-77-0 ATS record when playing on two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.6% ATS win rate over 139 total games.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks on two days rest is not profitable. The team shows a -14.8% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS. The Diamondbacks' 44.6% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations when playing on two days rest.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.