The public often underestimates the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Arizona Diamondbacks hold a record of 74-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +41.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $41 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record74-26-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size100 games
ROI+41.3%
Units Won+41.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-2-00.0%+59.1%
20157-2-00.0%+48.5%
20166-2-00.0%+43.2%
20175-4-00.0%+6.1%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20198-5-00.0%+17.5%
20209-3-00.0%+43.2%
20216-2-00.0%+43.2%
20226-0-00.0%+90.9%
20238-2-00.0%+52.7%
20244-2-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Arizona wins on the road or against quality opponents, oddsmakers often overcompensate by making them underdogs in their next home contest, failing to account for the confidence boost and tactical adjustments that typically follow a strong performance. Chase Field's unique playing conditions amplify this edge. The ballpark's dimensions and desert climate create advantages that visiting teams struggle to adapt to quickly, while the Diamondbacks have mastered exploiting these nuances. Arizona's hitters historically perform better at home after gaining rhythm from a previous victory, while their pitching staff benefits from familiar mound conditions and defensive positioning. The psychological element cannot be understated. Teams riding momentum from a recent win often play with increased aggression and confidence, particularly in front of supportive home crowds. Arizona's roster construction has consistently featured players who thrive in these pressure situations, turning potential letdown spots into statement games. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and against teams making their first visit to Phoenix in a given season, when the environmental adjustment proves most challenging for opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an outstanding 74-26-0 ATS record when playing as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 74.0% ATS win rate over 100 games.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Diamondbacks as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 41.3% ROI. This trend has generated consistent value for bettors over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 74.0% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. The 41.3% ROI indicates this trend performs well above league average expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.