The public often underestimates the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Arizona Diamondbacks hold a record of 168-46-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +49.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $107 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record168-46-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size215 games
ROI+49.9%
Units Won+106.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-5-00.0%+49.4%
201514-5-00.0%+40.7%
201610-3-00.0%+46.9%
201716-5-10.0%+45.5%
201814-3-00.0%+57.2%
201916-9-00.0%+22.2%
202019-5-00.0%+51.1%
202116-2-00.0%+69.7%
202216-0-00.0%+90.9%
202314-3-00.0%+57.2%
202415-6-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their unique position as a small-market team that thrives when expectations are low. Arizona's roster construction typically features scrappy veterans and emerging talent who play with a chip on their shoulder, particularly at Chase Field where the desert heat and altitude can neutralize power advantages from visiting favorites. The organization has consistently developed pitchers who maximize their effectiveness in the dry Arizona air, creating matchup advantages that oddsmakers often undervalue. Chase Field's dimensions and playing conditions create a home field advantage that's frequently overlooked by the betting market. The Diamondbacks' hitters are accustomed to the ball carrying differently in the desert environment, while visiting teams often struggle with the adjustment. Additionally, Arizona's front office has shown a pattern of strategic roster moves that peak during specific windows, creating temporary competitive advantages that the betting public doesn't immediately recognize. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise performs best when playing spoiler to higher-profile opponents, feeding off crowd energy and the underdog narrative. For bettors, target Arizona as home underdogs specifically against NL West rivals and high-profile American League teams during interleague play, when the value discrepancy tends to be most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as home underdog?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an outstanding 168-46-1 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 78.1% ATS win rate over 215 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 49.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing Arizona in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS with minimal ROI. The Diamondbacks' 78.1% ATS rate and 49.9% ROI as home underdogs represents one of the strongest situational trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.