The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 75-379-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -68.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +68.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record75-379-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size454 games
ROI-68.5%
Units Won-310.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-35-00.0%-76.1%
20157-28-00.0%-61.8%
20166-34-00.0%-71.4%
20178-33-00.0%-62.8%
20188-26-00.0%-55.1%
20197-37-00.0%-69.6%
20209-42-00.0%-66.3%
20218-36-00.0%-65.3%
20225-42-00.0%-79.7%
20237-38-00.0%-70.3%
20245-28-00.0%-71.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' historically poor performance as favorites following extended losing streaks reveals a franchise that consistently struggles with the psychological weight of expectations during vulnerable periods. When Arizona enters a game as the betting favorite after dropping three or more consecutive contests, they're typically facing a perfect storm of internal pressure and external doubt that manifests in tight, mistake-prone baseball. The organization's desert market creates unique challenges, as the fanbase and media can quickly turn pessimistic during rough patches, amplifying the pressure on players who are already pressing to end their skid. Arizona's roster construction over the years has often featured young, developing talent mixed with aging veterans, creating a clubhouse dynamic that lacks the steady leadership needed to navigate these high-pressure situations as favorites. The team tends to overthink at-bats and make defensive miscues when carrying the burden of being expected to win while simultaneously trying to snap a losing streak. The most actionable insight here is to consistently fade Arizona as favorites immediately following three-game losing streaks, particularly in divisional matchups where the psychological pressure intensifies. This trend carries the most weight during the middle months of the season when playoff implications begin to mount and the desert heat mirrors the rising tension in the clubhouse.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 75-379-0 (0.0% win rate) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst ATS trends in baseball over this period.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -68.5% ROI. This trend has been consistently unprofitable across the 2014-2024 timeframe.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically perform closer to 50% ATS in similar situations. The Diamondbacks' 0.0% ATS rate in this scenario represents an extreme statistical outlier.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.