Arizona Diamondbacks Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 15-89-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -72.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +72.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 2-13-0 | 0.0% | -74.5% |
| 2017 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 2-13-0 | 0.0% | -74.5% |
| 2020 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2021 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-10-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2024 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Diamondbacks' struggles as road favorites after losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and organizational inconsistency that has plagued the franchise for much of the past decade. Arizona has historically been a team that relies heavily on momentum and confidence, particularly when playing away from the desert heat of Chase Field. When they suffer a loss and then find themselves favored on the road, they're essentially being asked to bounce back in the most challenging possible scenario. The franchise's rebuilding periods and frequent roster turnover have created a culture where young players lack the veteran leadership needed to handle the pressure of being expected to win after disappointment. Road favorites in baseball must overcome not just the inherent home field advantage but also the weight of expectations, something Arizona's developing core has consistently failed to manage effectively. The most telling aspect is how this trend persists regardless of the specific roster composition, suggesting it's more about organizational DNA than individual players. Teams coming off losses often press too hard when favored, leading to poor plate discipline and rushed at-bats. This trend becomes most valuable when Arizona is a moderate road favorite (-130 to -160) after dropping a close game, as the psychological burden intensifies with tighter spreads.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 15-89-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 14.4% ATS win rate, meaning they have failed to cover the spread in 89 of their 104 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. With a -72.5% ROI over this period, this represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Diamondbacks' 14.4% ATS rate in this spot represents an extreme negative outlier that has persisted over multiple seasons.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.