The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 36-181-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -68.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +68.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record36-181-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size217 games
ROI-68.3%
Units Won-148.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-14-00.0%-87.3%
20153-17-00.0%-71.4%
20165-17-00.0%-56.6%
20173-12-00.0%-61.8%
20186-13-00.0%-39.7%
20195-22-00.0%-64.7%
20205-20-00.0%-61.8%
20210-17-00.0%-100.0%
20221-20-00.0%-90.9%
20235-18-00.0%-58.5%
20242-11-00.0%-70.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Diamondbacks' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their organizational identity and the expectations that come with being favored away from home. Arizona has historically been built around pitching depth and opportunistic offense rather than the dominant, travel-friendly characteristics that typically define successful road favorites. Their rotation often lacks the ace-level starter who can neutralize hostile environments, while their offense tends to be streaky and reliant on favorable ballpark conditions at Chase Field. The psychological burden of being favored on the road appears particularly damaging for Arizona players, who seem to press when expectations are elevated in unfamiliar environments. Unlike teams with veteran cores accustomed to high-pressure situations, the Diamondbacks have frequently fielded younger rosters that struggle with the mental aspects of road favorite status. Their bullpen construction has also been problematic, often lacking the lockdown relievers necessary to protect leads in late-inning road scenarios where crowd noise and pressure intensify. The most actionable insight for bettors is to consistently fade Arizona when they're road chalk, particularly against divisional opponents who know their tendencies well. This trend carries the most weight when the Diamondbacks are favored by less than 1.5 runs on the road, as these spots typically indicate market overvaluation of their true road capabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as away favorite?

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 36-181-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as away favorites is not profitable, with a -68.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball during this timeframe.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as MLB teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Diamondbacks' 0.0% ATS rate as away favorites represents an extreme negative outlier.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.