Arizona Diamondbacks After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Diamondbacks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Arizona Diamondbacks are just 181-195-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20-18-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 15-17-0 | 0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2016 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2017 | 17-19-0 | 0.0% | -9.8% |
| 2018 | 19-13-0 | 0.0% | +13.3% |
| 2019 | 16-15-0 | 0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2020 | 21-25-0 | 0.0% | -12.8% |
| 2021 | 14-23-0 | 0.0% | -27.8% |
| 2022 | 18-20-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2023 | 17-18-0 | 0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2024 | 11-15-0 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Diamondbacks' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational inconsistency and psychological letdown patterns that have plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Arizona has historically been a team that relies heavily on momentum and emotional energy, making them particularly vulnerable to the natural human tendency to relax after achieving success. When they win, the team often shows decreased urgency in preparation and execution, leading to flat performances the following game. This pattern is amplified by Arizona's roster construction over the years, which has frequently featured young, inexperienced players who haven't yet mastered the mental discipline required for day-to-day consistency in Major League Baseball. The desert heat and demanding travel schedule of the NL West also contribute to physical and mental fatigue that becomes more pronounced when players subconsciously ease up after a positive result. The franchise's developmental approach means they've often fielded lineups with players still learning how to maintain professional standards game after game. Veterans who could provide steady leadership have been inconsistent presences on Arizona rosters during this timeframe. This trend becomes most valuable for bettors during the middle months of the season when fatigue peaks and the Diamondbacks are coming off emotional or high-scoring victories.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Arizona Diamondbacks's ATS record as after a win?
The Arizona Diamondbacks have gone 181-195-0 against the spread when playing after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.1% ATS win rate over 376 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Arizona Diamondbacks after a win has not been profitable, showing a -8.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the team in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Diamondbacks' 48.1% ATS win rate after wins is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely below league average. The -8.1% ROI suggests this has been a particularly poor betting situation compared to typical MLB team performance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.